VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS FROM US TO EMERGING SEVEN STOCK MARKETS: PRE & POST ANALYSIS OF GFC

Abstract

This study is conducted to check volatility spillovers from the US to Emerging seven stock markets before and after the Global Financial Crisis through the VAR-GARCH model. The pre The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) sub-sample data ranges from January 8, 2002 to June 29, 2007 and Post GFC data starts from July 4, 2009 to December 28, 2014. The outcomes of the VAR-GARCH model show that there are significant volatility spillovers from US stock market to emerging seven stock markets in most cases. The correlations reveal that the US stock market is strongly correlated with the Brazilian stock exchange, Mexican stock exchange and Russian stock exchange. These findings suggest that investors may consider geographical proximity into consideration. The empirical results also mention that the Chinese stock market, the Indonesian stock market and Indian stock market have less effect by the volatility spillovers from the US stock market. The findings also demonstrate that the Brazilian, Mexican and Russian stock markets observed a rapid increase in the CCC with the US market.